6 BETS FOR NFL WEEK 6 - SPREADS, TEAM TOTALS, AND A TEASER

I have three half-unit bets and three full-unit bets. I'll start small and work my way up.

DENVER BRONCOS +10.5 (-110) DK

0.55 Units

I'm not gonna lie, this one is a little scary. The Broncos have been atrocious, especially on defense. They are a bad team right now. So why bet them? There are two primary reasons. The first is that their offense has actually been pretty good. They should be able to score against Kansas City, putting up 24 points or so. The second reason is that KC is struggling a bit. They've needed the help of the refs to get some recent wins and their margin of victory has been relatively small. In addition, Travis Kelce, their only reliable receiving option, won't be 100% even if he plays. I think this is the right side and if I had any guts I'd make this a full unit bet.

BALTIMORE RAVENS -3.5 (-110) HardRock

0.55 Units

The Ravens should be ashamed of themselves. That loss to the Steelers was ugly. Lamar said as much. This week they go "across the pond" to face the Titans. While it's hard to have a lot of confidence in the Ravens to play their best at the moment, this should be a good spot for them. The Titans defense has a strong defensive line, but other than that it's rough. Lamar should be able to avoid the rush and get the ball to his playmakers. The Titans' offense has shown some signs of life, but Tannehill is prone to making mistakes, and it should only take one for the Ravens to cover this number.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +4.5 (-115) FD

0.58 Units

Zack Moss takes his show on the road to Jacksonville this week. Oh, right, they have Jonathan Taylor now too. Anthony Richardson is out for multiple weeks, but Gardner Minschew is more than capable of filling in. The Colts' defensive line is proving to be very stout and should get some pressure on Trevor Lawrence. The Jags' defense has been better than expected, but all of a sudden this Indy offense has some weapons in Moss, Taylor, Downs, and Pittman. The Jags are also coming back from two weeks in London, so the travel could have a small impact.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS TEAM TOTAL o21.5 (-110) DK

1.1 Units

It appears Brock Purdy is good. Is it because of Kyle Shannan? At this rate, we may never know. What we do know is that with Purdy at the helm, the 49ers are putting up points in bunches. They've been at 30 or more in every game this year and have only fallen short of 22 points once since he became the starter. Yes, the Cleveland defense is good, and they get Myles Garrett back this week. This might not be easy, but the SF defense should help out by limiting possessions for Cleveland and getting the ball back to Purdy and company. I don't mind the spread here either, but I took it early at -3.5 and that line is gone, so we'll roll with the team total.

MIAMI DOLPHINS TEAM TOTAL o30.5 (-122) DK

1.22 Units

Thirty-one points is a lot. But not for the Dolphins. Last week they turned the ball over three times and still got there. Yes, it was against the Giants, but this week they take a step down in competition (if that's possible) when the lowly Panthers come to town. Against the two high-powered offenses they've faced this year (the Seahawks and Lions) they gave up 37 and 42 points respectively. Devon Achane is out with an injury, and that's not a plus for the Dolphins, but Mostert will be able to fill in well enough in this one.

6-POINT TEASER

LA RAMS -0.5 & PHILLY EAGLES -1 (-120) DK

1.2 Units

If the Rams had an offensive line this would be one of the top offenses in the league. With Cooper Kupp back they have one of the best wide receiver tandems in the league, and Kyren Williams is no slouch out of the backfield either. Last week we saw what happens when the Rams face a good defense as they were very limited by the Eagles, but this week they face one of the worst defenses in the league and should run over them.

Speaking of those Eagles--they looked season-best in LA last week and now they come back east to face the Jets. The Jets' defense is good, but as long as Zach Wilson is at the helm it's hard to see them beating any of the good teams in the league. I like the Eagles to cover the -7 spread this week, but this gives us a little more cushion.