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Creighton vs Providence

Creighton is one of the hottest teams in the country. They come into this game with nine straight wins. Five of those nine wins have been by double-digits. So they must be the right side in this one, right?

Providence is 10-4 ATS in conference play. There is a big difference in how they fare at home vs the road. They're 3-4 in the conference away from home, but 6-0 at home. Creighton hasn't lost for a while, but their three conference losses all came away from home.

I think this game will largely come down to Providence's ability to score. They haven't won a game this year without scoring at least 70 points and Creighton has only given up 70 or more in 2 of 14 conference games. Something has to give. The first game between these two was 73-67 Creighton in Omaha. I think home court gives Providence the bump they need to keep it close and possibly even end Creighton's win streak.

Pick: Providence +2.5 (-115) BetMGM

LSU vs Georgia

Every game LSU plays the team on the other side deserves a look. They are on a 12-game losing streak and only 1-4-1 ATS away from home this year. Yes, they play some good teams in the SEC, but they are getting beat down on the regular. They've lost their last eight games by 12, 9, 10, 10, 8, 20, 19, 20. You get the picture.

Georgia is no powerhouse itself. They're only 5-7 in conference play. However, like many teams, they perform better at home. This shows up a little bit in their record (4-2 home conference vs 1-5 away) but it really shows up in their scoring. At home in conference play they have scored 74 or more in 5 of 6 games while on the road they've only done that once in 6 games. LSU has only scored 74 or more once in conference play and have gone under 60 five times.

Georgia isn't great, but LSU is much worse. This feels like a small number to lay in this situation.

Pick: Georgia -4.5 (-110) DraftKings

Wyoming vs New Mexico

New Mexico is a good team coming off two straight losses. In a different situation, I'd be worried about them looking past Wyoming, but they need to get back in the win column and this is just the spot to get a blowout.

Wyoming is 1-5 ATS away from home. Getting beat by double digits on the road is kind of their thing. They've lost their road conference games by 12, 20, 14, 8, 20, and 5. They give up a lot of points and New Mexico is a team that will be happy to score them.

New Mexico has scored over 75 in all 7 of their home conference games, with the majority of those being in the 80s. I expect them to come in motivated tonight, not mess around, and hand Wyoming another double-digit loss on the road.

Pick: New Mexico -10.5 (-102) FanDuel

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