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THREE BETS FOR COLLEGE BASKETBALL ON TUESDAY

Writer's picture: Big TastyBig Tasty

With the NFL season winding down, it's time to turn additional attention to basketball. This year I'm focusing my attention on college more than the pros, but I won't go into the reasons for that here. I have three bets I like quite a bit tonight--here they are!


Ohio -8 (-110) vs Eastern Michigan

While I don't mind Ohio, this play is more of a fade of EMU. They are 2-5 ATS at home and have missed covering by an average of 9.9 points. They haven't fared much better in conference play where they are also 2-5 ATS, missing the cover by 8.7 points. They struggle to stop anyone on defense, allowing 81.9 ppg on the year.


Ohio isn't phenomenal, but they're respectable. They've covered the spread on the road just under half the time (4-5) and about the same in conference play (3-4). However, they can score pretty well, putting up 75 or more in 5 of their last 7. I'll take Ohio to put up 80+ and win this game by double digits.



Indiana vs Maryland -2.5 (-110)

I'm an Indiana fan, so call this an emotional hedge if you want, but I think Maryland is the right side tonight. Indiana comes in red hot, winning five in a row with four of the five by 13 points or more. (Ironically, their only close game was against lowly Minnesota.) Indiana is healthier with the return of Race Thompson and they really seem to be clicking.


Maryland has won three of their last five, and one of those losses was by 3 to #1 Purdue. These teams are relatively evenly matched (though I think Indiana has the higher upside), so what this really comes down to for me is two things. First, it's a home game for Maryland. They are 4-0 in conference play at home, winning all of those by 8 or more. Second, IU plays Purdue on Saturday. This is a huge rivalry game, plus Purdue is ranked #1, so this is a lookahead spot for the Hoosiers.


Put all that together and I'll take Maryland to get it done at home.




SDSU vs Nevada +3.5 (-110)

It's always nice to have some action on the late game, and this one doesn't tip until 11:00 Eastern. (Who am I kidding, I'll be in bed long before tip for this one!) Both of these teams have been solid against the spread this year. SDSU are 4-1 ATS away from home and 5-3-1 in conference play. On the other side, Nevada is 6-2-1 ATS at home and 4-3-2 in conference play.


Here, like with Maryland, home court advantage plays a big role in my play on Nevada. They are undefeated at home this season (10-0) including wins over New Mexico and Boise State. SDSU is actually undefeated on the road--quite a feat--but they've only had 5 true road games with their best win coming against Stanford all the way back in November.


SDSU is good--they beat Nevada by 9 the first time these two teams played--but I think this game should be closer to a pick. I'll take Nevada to play a very close game at home, and possibly even maintain their unbeaten mark there.



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