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WEDNESDAY PICKS FOR WISCONSIN v PENN STATE, TEMPLE v SMU, AND HOFSTRA v NORTHEASTERN


Wisconsin vs Penn State


Wisconsin and Penn State have both been struggling as of late. Wisconsin has only won two of its last nine games. This is a team that historically struggles on offense, and this year is no different. They thought getting Tyler Wahl back from injury would be a big boost, but he's struggled since coming back. It often feels like he's pressing to do too much and that's not working. While Wisconsin has a couple of good shooters, they struggle to create their own shots.


Penn State has fared slightly better, only dropping six of their last ten, but it hasn't been pretty. One of those losses was to Wisconsin by 3 points in Madison. This is a team that showed a lot of promise, especially with Jalen Pickett leading the way.


The thing that leads me to a bet on this game is the home/road splits. Penn State has lost all five of their road conference games, often in a blowout. At home they're 4-0 in conference with three of those wins coming by double-digits. I believe they are a substantially better team than Wisconsin when they play their best, and that's exactly what they do at home. I'll take Penn State to win by 10+.


Pick: Penn State -4 (-110) WynnBet



Temple vs SMU


Temple's last game against Houston was a great barometer of this team. They played hard and didn't give up when they got down, but they were outmatched athletically. The good news for them is that won't be the case tonight when they face SMU.


This is a game where the ATS numbers really stick out. Temple is 5-1-1 ATS away from home and 8-3 ATS in the conference. Meanwhile, SMU is a woeful 3-8-1 ATS at home and 2-8-1 in the conference.


SMU has been in some close games, but most of them have come against teams that aren't very good. For crying out loud, they only beat Tulsa by 3! Before losing to Houston, Temple was on a four-game win streak, including a two-point win at Houston! (Houston shot poorly in that game which allowed Temple to stay in it and get the close win.) I believe there is a substantial gap between these teams and Temple is the kind of team that will keep fighting even if they're down. 2.5 seems way too short to me. I would have made it at least 5.5, so I'll lay it with Temple.


Pick: Temple -2.5 (-110) WynnBet



Hofstra vs Northeastern


Let's wrap it up with some Colonial Athletic Association action. I mean, who doesn't love that??


Hofstra sits atop the conference with College of Charleston at 10-2 in conference. Even more impressive is the fact that they're also 10-2 ATS in conference. Northeastern sits in the middle of the conference standings, but they're only 4-7 and are on a four-game losing streak.


Hofstra is a better team, currently on a roll, and Northeastern is inferior and sliding. We're only being asked to lay 7.5. I'll take the bait. (Full transparency, I bet this at -6.5 and it's moved. Personally, I still like it at 7.5, but if it keeps moving up I'd look for a live line.)


Pick: Hofstra -7.5 (-110) WynnBet

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